Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

11 July 2025 | 3 minute read
Our weekly Market Monitor, curated by our Strategic Advisory Solutions team, features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.

Chart of the Week: Beyond The Peak

When markets reach all-time highs, investors may worry about deploying cash or even staying invested. Contrary to conventional wisdom, investing in the S&P 500 exclusively on days when the market hit an all-time high has historically outperformed investing on any given day, producing stronger returns over the next 1, 3, and 5 years. Today, we believe that US equities can continue to move higher, with prices supported by Fed easing and diminished tariff uncertainty, as well as the fundamental strength of mega-cap tech companies and investor enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence. 

Chart of the Week

Source: Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of July 9, 2025. Chart shows average forward price returns of the S&P 500 following an all-time index high being reached versus unconditional returns over 1 year, 3 year, and 5 year periods. Analysis represents S&P 500 price data from 1950 to 2025. Unconditional returns refer to the average return of the index beginning on any trading day regardless of whether or not an all-time high was reached. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. For illustrative purposes only.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and a summary of market returns and economic activity over the week. On pages 2 and 3, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
Our weekly Market Monitor, curated by our Strategic Advisory Solutions team, features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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