Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

15 August 2025 | 3 minute read
Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: Looking Past the Peak

The S&P 500 hit a fresh all-time high last week and is now up 10% YTD on the back of robust earnings and expectations of Fed easing. Historically, following S&P 500 all-time highs, there tends to be strong movement beneath the surface, with 85% of S&P 500 stocks trading at a loss in the 12 months following the peak and over half the index down at least 10% at some point. We believe that the potential for greater single-stock dispersion, paired with our expectation for strong index level returns, underscores the value of direct indexing strategies that seek to provide both beta exposure and after-tax alpha. ​

Chart of the Week

Source: Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of August 14, 2025. Chart shows the proportion of S&P 500 stocks trading at losses of varying degrees at any point in the twelve months following an S&P 500 all-time high. The analysis considers all stocks that have been included in the index since 2014 and considers the dates of 303 all-time highs set by the index since 2015. “Direct indexing” refers to an investment strategy that allows investors to directly own the individual securities that constitute a market index, such as the S&P 500. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. For Illustrative Purposes Only.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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