Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

20 March 2026 | 3 minute read
market-monitor_16-9_1360x765.jpg
Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

20 March 2026 | 3 minute read
market-monitor_21-9_1840x788.jpg
Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

20 March 2026 | 3 minute read
market-monitor_3-1_2480x827.jpg
Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: Macro Matters

When we compare today’s oil supply disruption to previous shocks, one of the key differences is how much more favorable macro conditions are today. The Fed faces a less challenging trade-off between inflation and growth than in the past, with a softer (but still solid) labor market, inflation much closer to target and trending lower before the conflict, and a relatively tighter monetary policy stance. While the macro impact will ultimately depend on the duration of the disruption, we believe the Fed is better positioned to look through a short-term shock and continue policy normalization later this year.

Chart of the Week

Source: Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of February 27, 2026. Chart compares US macro conditions at the outset of today’s conflict in the Middle East versus the average starting conditions across 6 major oil supply disruptions, namely the Yom Kippur War (1973), Iranian Revolution (1978), Gulf War (1990), Iran War (2003), Russia-Ukraine War (2022), and the current conflict. The unemployment rate reflects the average over the past 3 months, while the inflation target refers to the Fed’s 2% target. 'We' refers to Goldman Sachs Asset Management. For Illustrative Purposes Only.  

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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