Macroeconomics

Asset Management Outlook 2024: Embracing New Realities

November 10, 2023 | 4 minute read
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As the new year approaches, new realities are taking shape. To help investors navigate these changes, we aim to identify the most meaningful market trends and investment opportunities of 2024.

Welcome to a World of New Realities

We are pleased to share Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s 2024 Outlook: Embracing New Realities. As the new year approaches, a new economic landscape is taking shape. Major central banks seem prepared to keep interest rates higher for longer, and growth paths and inflation patterns across economies appear increasingly out of sync. An election super cycle is about to unfold against a backdrop of elevated geopolitical risk. Simultaneously, megatrends including disruptive technology and sustainability are rapidly transforming industries.  

Embracing change is not easy. It requires resilience and action to avoid being left behind—even when finding the way forward is difficult. Most investors have adapted in recent years to rising geopolitical risks, soaring inflation and the disruptions caused by the pandemic. Further adjustments will be necessary in a world of greater growth volatility, higher capital costs and geopolitical instability. We expect increased performance dispersion across asset classes, sectors and regions. In these conditions, investors face complex choices and trade-offs. 

Embracing change is not easy. It requires resilience and action to avoid being left behind—even when finding the way forward is difficult.

We believe active investment strategies, a focus on diversification and risk management will be important to navigate 2024 and help deliver alpha. In our view, it will also be necessary to manage portfolios in an integrated way, enhancing diversification and performance potential by considering both traditional and alternative investments. Focusing on long-term disruption from sustainability trends and technological innovation, including artificial intelligence (AI), can help position portfolios for the global economic transformation. 

In an age of unpredictability, dynamic insights and solutions will be needed to steer investment. We have synthesized views from across our investment teams and grouped our observations around five key themes that we expect to affect markets and investment strategies in 2024:

  1. Macroeconomy: Living with Higher for Longer
  2. Geopolitics: Roadmaps for a Reshaped World
  3. Disruptive Technology: Innovation and AI Acceleration
  4. Sustainability: Investing with Impact
  5. Portfolio Construction: Thinking Differently

We hope you find our insights helpful, and we look forward to working with you in 2024.

 

Marc Nachmann

Global Head of Asset & Wealth Management

Key Themes for the Year Ahead
1
Macroeconomy: Living with Higher for Longer
Interest rates in developed markets are set to stay higher for longer, and growth paths and inflation patterns across the global economy are moving in different directions and at different speeds.
2
Geopolitics: Roadmaps for a Reshaped World
An election super cycle will unfold in 2024 against a backdrop of elevated geopolitical risk and economic competition between nations.
3
Disruptive Technology: Innovation and AI Acceleration
Artificial intelligence is now part of the long-term technology opportunity set. Semiconductors, cybersecurity and healthcare are areas to watch as AI transforms industries.
4
Sustainability: Investing with Impact
Sustainable investing is becoming more complex and competitive as investors seek ways to make a real-world impact by focusing on environmental and inclusive-growth themes.
5
Portfolio Construction: Thinking Differently
In our view, investors can navigate higher-for-longer rates, geopolitical shocks and accelerating secular growth trends by staying active and focusing on diversification and risk management.
Asset Management Outlook 2024: Embracing New Realities
asset management outlook 2024: embracing new realities
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