Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

December 12, 2025 | 3 minute read
Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: The K-Shaped Economy

Consumer sentiment surveys and earnings results have highlighted a “K-shaped” dispersion among income cohorts, characterized by relative strength among higher income consumers compared to lower income consumers. Next year, GIR expects real income growth to accelerate for every income cohort, except for the lowest income bracket. We believe that K-shaped consumption patterns could influence key macro dynamics: the US economy may be able to withstand a greater degree of labor market weakness than in the past, but it may simultaneously become more sensitive to financial market conditions.

Chart of the Week

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of December 5, 2025. Chart shows real income growth for different income cohorts in 2025 as well as GIR’s forecasts for 2026. The “bottom” cohort consists of households making less than $50K a year, the “second” cohort consists of households making $50K-$69K a year, the “third” cohort consists of households making $69K-$94K a year, the “fourth” income cohort consists of households making $94K-$138K a year and the “top” cohort consists of households making over $138K a year. Past performance does not predict future returns and does not guarantee future results, which may vary. For illustrative purposes only. 'We' refers to Goldman Sachs Asset Management. Past correlations are not indicative of future correlations, which may vary. Please see additional disclosures at the end of this presentation.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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