Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

July 10, 2026 | 3 minute read
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Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: A Rally for the Ages

The S&P 500's four-year rally ranks above the top decile of historical returns since 1928, reflecting a significant bull run powered by economic resilience and AI enthusiasm. Earnings growth remains the primary driver sustaining momentum, with 2027 consensus expectations offering optimism despite questions around AI momentum and a larger base effect. While geopolitical risks, high concentration, and elevated valuations warrant caution, we believe the fundamental backdrop can support further upside if earnings momentum holds.

Chart shows the historical distribution of returns for the S&P 500 index over a four-year cycle dating back to 1928.

Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of July 6, 2026. Chart shows the historical distribution of returns for the S&P 500 index over a four-year cycle dating back to 1928. 'We' refers to Goldman Sachs Asset Management. For Illustrative Purposes Only.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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