Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

29 August 2025 | 3 minute read
Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: Magnificent Earnings Growth

The 2Q earnings season has reaffirmed the earnings exceptionalism of the mega-cap tech stocks, defying market expectations that the earnings gap between the Mag 7 and the rest of the S&P 500 might narrow in the shorter term. The Mag 7 have seen 28% year-over-year EPS growth in 2Q, compared to 7% for the rest of the S&P 500, leading to a larger gap in earnings growth rates than consensus estimated at the beginning of earnings season (21 bps vs 14 bps). The fundamental strength of the mega-cap tech stocks has the potential to offset the impact of cyclical weakness and serves as one of the key sources of upside risk to GIR’s S&P 500 forecasts. 

Chart of the Week

Source: GS GIR and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of August 28, 2025. Chart shows year-over-year EPS growth for Mag 7 stocks versus the rest of the S&P 500. Mag 7 stocks consist of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. For Illustrative Purposes Only. The economic and market forecasts presented herein are for informational purposes as of the date of this presentation. There can be no assurance that the forecasts will be achieved.  Please see additional disclosures at the end of this presentation.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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