Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

June 6, 2025 | 3 minute read
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The Strategic Advisory Solutions Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.

Chart of the Week: Level Up

The 10-Year US Treasury yield rose by 40bps in May to 4.4% on renewed concerns about the US fiscal outlook. However, we find that the drivers and speed of changes in bond yields matter more for equities than a specific level of rates. Equities typically appreciate when the market is raising expectations for economic growth but often struggle when yields rise due to other factors – like fiscal concerns. Historically, equities have also struggled when rates rise materially too quickly. A move toward 5% in the next few weeks would likely catalyze more equity volatility.

Chart of the Week

Source: Goldman Sachs Global investment Research and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of May 30, 2025. Chart shows the median annual return based on the level of nominal 10-Year US Treasury yields from 1940 to 2025 YTD. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. For illustrative purposes only. “We” refers to Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and a summary of market returns and economic activity over the week. On pages 2 and 3, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
Our weekly Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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