Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

January 23, 2026 | 3 minute read
Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: A Structural Shift

Despite growing investor concerns about elevated US equity valuations, we believe that higher valuations are justified, in large part because US growth has become less volatile as the economy has become more technologically driven and service-oriented. As a result, the US economy has spent 8% of the time in recession since 1992, compared to 19% before then. While this fact does not preclude the possibility of a potential correction, we do not expect valuations to return to past levels. 

Chart of the Week

Source: Goldman Sachs Investment Strategy Group and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of January 5, 2026. Chart shows the median CAPE ratio for the S&P 500 as well as the percentage of months the US economy was in a recession before and after 1992. Chart is based on data since 1945. A recession is defined as a period of significant decline in economic activity that is spread throughout the economy and lasts for a few months. For Illustrative Purposes Only. 'We' refers to Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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