Macroeconomics

Weekly Market Monitor

October 16, 2026 | 3 minute read
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Stay connected with our Weekly Market Monitor, featuring a thematic chart, key market developments, and valuable investment insights across asset classes each week.

Chart of the Week: Attractive Asymmetry

The sharp rise in interest rates across the curve has raised questions about how investors should manage their fixed income exposure. Higher starting yields now provide a substantial cushion, particularly at the long end, where the potential gains from a 50 bp decline in rates exceed losses from a 50 bp rate increase by as much as ~14pp. Although rate relief may be limited without meaningful disinflationary progress, elevated yields have created a favorable return asymmetry that may present a compelling opportunity for longer-term investors.

 Chart shows the 1-year total return for US Treasury bonds of different maturities if the yield curve remains unchanged, if it shifts higher by 50 bps over the first 6 months, or if it shifts lower 50 bps over that time frame.

Source: Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs Asset Management. As of October 14, 2026. Chart shows the 1-year total return for US Treasury bonds of different maturities if the yield curve remains unchanged, if it shifts higher by 50 bps over the first 6 months, or if it shifts lower 50 bps over that time frame. “Bp” refers to basis points. “pp” refers to percentage points. Chart assumes bonds are bought at par and held over a year, with coupons reinvested at the 6-month rate. Past performance does not predict future returns and does not guarantee future results, which may vary. ‘We’ refers to Goldman Sachs Asset Management. For Illustrative Purposes Only. Please see additional disclosures at the end of this presentation.

Download the full document, which includes the chart of the week and insights on market developments. On pages 3 and 4, we further recap equity sector, size and style returns, global index returns, as well as rates and spread movements and a monthly snapshot of global equity valuations.

Weekly Market Monitor
The Market Monitor features a thematic chart and highlights key economic events and data releases driving the past week’s market moves.
weekly market monitor
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